Washington Capitals Playoff Chances 2026-27
The Washington Capitals are 10-8-0 (20 points), outside the East playoff spots (10th in the conference). They make the playoffs in 46% of our simulations and win the Stanley Cup in 2%.
Updated · Through games of November 14, 2026 · 20 of 84 games played per team on average
46%Make playoffs
2%Win Metropolitan
8%Reach conf. finals
2%Win Stanley Cup
94 pointsProjected points
16thPower rating rank
66Games left (30 home)
L2Streak
Next 10 games
| Date | Opponent | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Tue, Nov 17 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning (13-5-2) | 41% |
| Thu, Nov 19 | vs Buffalo Sabres (8-8-4) | 59% |
| Sat, Nov 21 | @ Boston Bruins (13-6-1) | 40% |
| Wed, Nov 25 | vs Philadelphia Flyers (6-10-6) | 59% |
| Fri, Nov 27 | vs Florida Panthers (12-7-2) | 51% |
| Sat, Nov 28 | @ St. Louis Blues (9-9-2) | 47% |
| Tue, Dec 1 | vs Vancouver Canucks (3-17-1) | 66% |
| Thu, Dec 3 | @ Edmonton Oilers (15-3-3) | 38% |
| Sat, Dec 5 | @ Calgary Flames (9-10-1) | 54% |
| Mon, Dec 7 | @ Vancouver Canucks (3-17-1) | 60% |
Metropolitan standings
| Team | W-L-OTL | PTS | Playoffs | Win div |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina Hurricanes | 16-3-2 | 34 | 98% | 64% |
| New Jersey Devils | 15-6-0 | 30 | 92% | 24% |
| New York Rangers | 12-8-1 | 25 | 66% | 6% |
| New York Islanders | 9-6-4 | 22 | 53% | 3% |
| Washington Capitals | 10-8-0 | 20 | 46% | 2% |
| Philadelphia Flyers | 6-10-6 | 18 | 8% | <1% |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 7-11-2 | 16 | 10% | <1% |
| Columbus Blue Jackets | 7-11-0 | 14 | 8% | <1% |
Playoff path
| Milestone | Chance |
|---|---|
| Make the playoffs | 46% |
| Win the division | 2% |
| Win a first-round series | 18% |
| Reach the conference finals | 8% |
| Reach the Stanley Cup Final | 4% |
| Win the Stanley Cup | 2% |
Frequently asked questions
Will the Washington Capitals make the playoffs?
Our model gives the Capitals a 46% chance to make the 2027 NHL playoffs. They are 10-8-0 and outside the East playoff spots (10th in the conference).
What are the Washington Capitals' chances to win the Stanley Cup?
2%, with a 4% chance to reach the Stanley Cup Final.
What is the Washington Capitals' projected record?
The simulations project about 94 points over the 84-game season (now 20 points in 18 games).