NBA Playoff Odds 2026-27

Every NBA team's chances to make the playoffs, finish top six, reach the play-in, and advance through each round to the NBA title, from 10,000 simulations.

Updated Nov 15, 2026, 11:45 AM ET · Through games of November 14, 2026 · 13 of 80 games played per team on average

Team	W-L	Proj. wins	Playoffs	Top 6	Play-in	2nd round	Conf. finals	Finals	Title
Boston Celtics	10-2	53.4	99%	97%	2%	77%	53%	34%	15%
San Antonio Spurs	11-2	56.6	98%	93%	7%	70%	44%	26%	19%
Detroit Pistons	8-4	48.2	95%	87%	11%	61%	35%	18%	6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	9-3	52.2	93%	80%	19%	57%	31%	17%	11%
Houston Rockets	10-3	52.3	91%	79%	20%	52%	26%	14%	9%
Los Angeles Lakers	11-2	52.4	91%	78%	21%	49%	24%	12%	8%
Philadelphia 76ers	10-3	45.3	88%	76%	20%	45%	19%	8%	2%
Portland Trail Blazers	9-3	50.6	87%	70%	28%	45%	22%	10%	6%
New York Knicks	6-6	44.4	86%	72%	23%	51%	27%	13%	5%
Memphis Grizzlies	9-3	48.5	82%	60%	36%	39%	17%	8%	5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	7-7	42.5	79%	61%	31%	40%	18%	8%	2%
Oklahoma City Thunder	8-5	46.6	70%	44%	48%	27%	11%	4%	2%
Golden State Warriors	8-5	46.4	69%	44%	48%	27%	11%	5%	3%
Atlanta Hawks	7-5	39.8	68%	48%	38%	28%	10%	4%	1%
Miami Heat	7-6	40.2	68%	47%	38%	27%	10%	4%	1%
Toronto Raptors	5-7	39.3	64%	42%	40%	27%	12%	5%	2%
Denver Nuggets	7-4	43.8	53%	28%	54%	18%	7%	2%	1%
Indiana Pacers	5-8	35.1	39%	19%	42%	13%	5%	2%	<1%
Orlando Magic	5-6	34.8	39%	20%	42%	12%	4%	1%	<1%
Dallas Mavericks	7-6	41.2	39%	16%	55%	11%	4%	1%	1%
Washington Wizards	4-8	31.7	23%	10%	33%	7%	2%	1%	<1%
Brooklyn Nets	3-8	31.4	23%	10%	32%	6%	2%	1%	<1%
Phoenix Suns	5-6	36.6	18%	5%	37%	4%	1%	<1%	<1%
Chicago Bulls	3-9	30.1	16%	5%	25%	4%	1%	<1%	<1%
Charlotte Hornets	4-8	29.0	12%	4%	21%	3%	1%	<1%	<1%
LA Clippers	3-7	32.0	8%	2%	20%	2%	<1%	<1%	<1%
New Orleans Pelicans	4-9	27.2	1%	<1%	5%	<1%	<1%	0%	0%
Milwaukee Bucks	1-12	21.6	1%	<1%	3%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0%
Utah Jazz	1-10	23.8	1%	<1%	2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0%
Sacramento Kings	1-11	22.9	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	0%	0%	0%

Click a column to sort. Playoffs includes teams that win their way in through the play-in. How the model works.