Dallas Mavericks Playoff Chances 2026-27
The Dallas Mavericks are 7-6, 10th in the West, in play-in position. They make the playoffs in 39% of our simulations and win the NBA title in 1%.
Updated · Through games of November 14, 2026 · 13 of 80 games played per team on average
39%Make playoffs
16%Top 6 (no play-in)
4%Reach conf. finals
1%Win NBA title
41-39Projected record
15thPower rating rank
67Games left (33 home)
L2Streak
Next 10 games
| Date | Opponent | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Sun, Nov 15 | @ Boston Celtics (10-2) | 31% |
| Wed, Nov 18 | vs Golden State Warriors (8-5) | 52% |
| Sat, Nov 21 | vs LA Clippers (3-7) | 67% |
| Sun, Nov 22 | @ Utah Jazz (1-10) | 61% |
| Tue, Nov 24 | @ Denver Nuggets (7-4) | 40% |
| Fri, Nov 27 | @ Phoenix Suns (5-6) | 48% |
| Mon, Nov 30 | vs Boston Celtics (10-2) | 46% |
| Wed, Dec 2 | vs Orlando Magic (5-6) | 67% |
| Mon, Dec 14 | vs Milwaukee Bucks (1-12) | 79% |
| Wed, Dec 16 | @ Brooklyn Nets (3-8) | 54% |
Southwest standings
| Team | W-L | Playoffs | Win div |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | 11-2 | 98% | 59% |
| Houston Rockets | 10-3 | 91% | 26% |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 9-3 | 82% | 13% |
| Dallas Mavericks | 7-6 | 39% | 1% |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 4-9 | 1% | <1% |
Playoff path
| Milestone | Chance |
|---|---|
| Make the playoffs | 39% |
| Finish top six | 16% |
| Play-in (7th–10th) | 55% |
| Win a first-round series | 11% |
| Reach the conference finals | 4% |
| Reach the NBA Finals | 1% |
| Win the NBA title | 1% |
Frequently asked questions
Will the Dallas Mavericks make the playoffs?
Our model gives the Mavericks a 39% chance to make the 2027 NBA playoffs, including a 16% chance to finish in the top six and avoid the play-in. They are 7-6 and 10th in the West, in play-in position.
What are the Dallas Mavericks' chances to win the NBA title?
1%, with a 1% chance to reach the NBA Finals.
What is the Dallas Mavericks' projected record?
About 41-39, based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining schedule.