San Antonio Spurs Playoff Chances 2026-27
The San Antonio Spurs are 11-2, 1st in the West, in line for a direct playoff spot. They make the playoffs in 98% of our simulations and win the NBA title in 19%.
Updated · Through games of November 14, 2026 · 13 of 80 games played per team on average
98%Make playoffs
93%Top 6 (no play-in)
44%Reach conf. finals
19%Win NBA title
57-23Projected record
1stPower rating rank
67Games left (33 home)
W11Streak
Next 10 games
| Date | Opponent | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Sun, Nov 15 | @ Utah Jazz (1-10) | 78% |
| Tue, Nov 17 | vs Detroit Pistons (8-4) | 70% |
| Thu, Nov 19 | vs LA Clippers (3-7) | 82% |
| Sat, Nov 21 | vs New Orleans Pelicans (4-9) | 86% |
| Mon, Nov 23 | @ Sacramento Kings (1-11) | 79% |
| Wed, Nov 25 | @ Portland Trail Blazers (9-3) | 50% |
| Fri, Nov 27 | vs Los Angeles Lakers (11-2) | 65% |
| Sun, Nov 29 | vs Boston Celtics (10-2) | 65% |
| Mon, Nov 30 | @ Milwaukee Bucks (1-12) | 82% |
| Thu, Dec 3 | vs Toronto Raptors (5-7) | 77% |
Southwest standings
| Team | W-L | Playoffs | Win div |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | 11-2 | 98% | 59% |
| Houston Rockets | 10-3 | 91% | 26% |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 9-3 | 82% | 13% |
| Dallas Mavericks | 7-6 | 39% | 1% |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 4-9 | 1% | <1% |
Playoff path
| Milestone | Chance |
|---|---|
| Make the playoffs | 98% |
| Finish top six | 93% |
| Play-in (7th–10th) | 7% |
| Win a first-round series | 70% |
| Reach the conference finals | 44% |
| Reach the NBA Finals | 26% |
| Win the NBA title | 19% |
Frequently asked questions
Will the San Antonio Spurs make the playoffs?
Our model gives the Spurs a 98% chance to make the 2027 NBA playoffs, including a 93% chance to finish in the top six and avoid the play-in. They are 11-2 and 1st in the West, in line for a direct playoff spot.
What are the San Antonio Spurs' chances to win the NBA title?
19%, with a 26% chance to reach the NBA Finals.
What is the San Antonio Spurs' projected record?
About 57-23, based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining schedule.