Portland Trail Blazers Playoff Chances 2026-27
The Portland Trail Blazers are 9-3, 4th in the West, in line for a direct playoff spot. They make the playoffs in 87% of our simulations and win the NBA title in 6%.
Updated · Through games of November 14, 2026 · 13 of 80 games played per team on average
87%Make playoffs
70%Top 6 (no play-in)
22%Reach conf. finals
6%Win NBA title
51-29Projected record
6thPower rating rank
68Games left (35 home)
W3Streak
Next 10 games
| Date | Opponent | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Mon, Nov 16 | @ Minnesota Timberwolves (9-3) | 38% |
| Tue, Nov 17 | @ Minnesota Timberwolves (9-3) | 38% |
| Thu, Nov 19 | @ Milwaukee Bucks (1-12) | 76% |
| Sat, Nov 21 | @ New York Knicks (6-6) | 48% |
| Mon, Nov 23 | @ Philadelphia 76ers (10-3) | 53% |
| Wed, Nov 25 | vs San Antonio Spurs (11-2) | 50% |
| Fri, Nov 27 | vs Golden State Warriors (8-5) | 62% |
| Sun, Nov 29 | vs New Orleans Pelicans (4-9) | 81% |
| Tue, Dec 1 | vs Minnesota Timberwolves (9-3) | 53% |
| Thu, Dec 3 | vs Utah Jazz (1-10) | 83% |
Northwest standings
| Team | W-L | Playoffs | Win div |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Trail Blazers | 9-3 | 87% | 32% |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 9-3 | 93% | 47% |
| Denver Nuggets | 7-4 | 53% | 7% |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 8-5 | 70% | 13% |
| Utah Jazz | 1-10 | 1% | 0% |
Playoff path
| Milestone | Chance |
|---|---|
| Make the playoffs | 87% |
| Finish top six | 70% |
| Play-in (7th–10th) | 28% |
| Win a first-round series | 45% |
| Reach the conference finals | 22% |
| Reach the NBA Finals | 10% |
| Win the NBA title | 6% |
Frequently asked questions
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the playoffs?
Our model gives the Trail Blazers a 87% chance to make the 2027 NBA playoffs, including a 70% chance to finish in the top six and avoid the play-in. They are 9-3 and 4th in the West, in line for a direct playoff spot.
What are the Portland Trail Blazers' chances to win the NBA title?
6%, with a 10% chance to reach the NBA Finals.
What is the Portland Trail Blazers' projected record?
About 51-29, based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining schedule.