Oklahoma City Thunder Playoff Chances 2026-27
The Oklahoma City Thunder are 8-5, 9th in the West, in play-in position. They make the playoffs in 70% of our simulations and win the NBA title in 2%.
Updated · Through games of November 14, 2026 · 13 of 80 games played per team on average
70%Make playoffs
44%Top 6 (no play-in)
11%Reach conf. finals
2%Win NBA title
47-33Projected record
10thPower rating rank
67Games left (35 home)
L3Streak
Next 10 games
| Date | Opponent | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Sun, Nov 15 | @ Sacramento Kings (1-11) | 68% |
| Wed, Nov 18 | vs Atlanta Hawks (7-5) | 67% |
| Fri, Nov 20 | vs New Orleans Pelicans (4-9) | 77% |
| Sun, Nov 22 | @ Miami Heat (7-6) | 52% |
| Mon, Nov 23 | @ Indiana Pacers (5-8) | 56% |
| Wed, Nov 25 | vs Minnesota Timberwolves (9-3) | 48% |
| Sat, Nov 28 | @ Milwaukee Bucks (1-12) | 71% |
| Mon, Nov 30 | @ Brooklyn Nets (3-8) | 59% |
| Wed, Dec 2 | vs Brooklyn Nets (3-8) | 74% |
| Sun, Dec 13 | vs Toronto Raptors (5-7) | 66% |
Northwest standings
| Team | W-L | Playoffs | Win div |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Trail Blazers | 9-3 | 87% | 32% |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 9-3 | 93% | 47% |
| Denver Nuggets | 7-4 | 53% | 7% |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 8-5 | 70% | 13% |
| Utah Jazz | 1-10 | 1% | 0% |
Playoff path
| Milestone | Chance |
|---|---|
| Make the playoffs | 70% |
| Finish top six | 44% |
| Play-in (7th–10th) | 48% |
| Win a first-round series | 27% |
| Reach the conference finals | 11% |
| Reach the NBA Finals | 4% |
| Win the NBA title | 2% |
Frequently asked questions
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder make the playoffs?
Our model gives the Thunder a 70% chance to make the 2027 NBA playoffs, including a 44% chance to finish in the top six and avoid the play-in. They are 8-5 and 9th in the West, in play-in position.
What are the Oklahoma City Thunder' chances to win the NBA title?
2%, with a 4% chance to reach the NBA Finals.
What is the Oklahoma City Thunder' projected record?
About 47-33, based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining schedule.