New Orleans Pelicans Playoff Chances 2026-27
The New Orleans Pelicans are 4-9, 12th in the West, outside the play-in. They make the playoffs in 1% of our simulations and win the NBA title in 0%.
Updated · Through games of November 14, 2026 · 13 of 80 games played per team on average
1%Make playoffs
<1%Top 6 (no play-in)
<1%Reach conf. finals
0%Win NBA title
27-53Projected record
26thPower rating rank
66Games left (31 home)
L6Streak
Next 10 games
| Date | Opponent | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Mon, Nov 16 | vs Golden State Warriors (8-5) | 36% |
| Wed, Nov 18 | vs Detroit Pistons (8-4) | 36% |
| Fri, Nov 20 | @ Oklahoma City Thunder (8-5) | 23% |
| Sat, Nov 21 | @ San Antonio Spurs (11-2) | 14% |
| Mon, Nov 23 | vs Phoenix Suns (5-6) | 48% |
| Fri, Nov 27 | @ LA Clippers (3-7) | 36% |
| Sun, Nov 29 | @ Portland Trail Blazers (9-3) | 19% |
| Mon, Nov 30 | @ Sacramento Kings (1-11) | 47% |
| Wed, Dec 2 | vs Los Angeles Lakers (11-2) | 31% |
| Sun, Dec 13 | @ Sacramento Kings (1-11) | 47% |
Southwest standings
| Team | W-L | Playoffs | Win div |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | 11-2 | 98% | 59% |
| Houston Rockets | 10-3 | 91% | 26% |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 9-3 | 82% | 13% |
| Dallas Mavericks | 7-6 | 39% | 1% |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 4-9 | 1% | <1% |
Playoff path
| Milestone | Chance |
|---|---|
| Make the playoffs | 1% |
| Finish top six | <1% |
| Play-in (7th–10th) | 5% |
| Win a first-round series | <1% |
| Reach the conference finals | <1% |
| Reach the NBA Finals | 0% |
| Win the NBA title | 0% |
Frequently asked questions
Will the New Orleans Pelicans make the playoffs?
Our model gives the Pelicans a 1% chance to make the 2027 NBA playoffs, including a <1% chance to finish in the top six and avoid the play-in. They are 4-9 and 12th in the West, outside the play-in.
What are the New Orleans Pelicans' chances to win the NBA title?
0%, with a 0% chance to reach the NBA Finals.
What is the New Orleans Pelicans' projected record?
About 27-53, based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining schedule.