Memphis Grizzlies Playoff Chances 2026-27
The Memphis Grizzlies are 9-3, 6th in the West, in line for a direct playoff spot. They make the playoffs in 82% of our simulations and win the NBA title in 5%.
Updated · Through games of November 14, 2026 · 13 of 80 games played per team on average
82%Make playoffs
60%Top 6 (no play-in)
17%Reach conf. finals
5%Win NBA title
49-31Projected record
7thPower rating rank
67Games left (33 home)
W2Streak
Next 10 games
| Date | Opponent | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Mon, Nov 16 | @ Washington Wizards (4-8) | 64% |
| Wed, Nov 18 | @ Cleveland Cavaliers (7-7) | 51% |
| Thu, Nov 19 | vs Golden State Warriors (8-5) | 61% |
| Sat, Nov 21 | @ Minnesota Timberwolves (9-3) | 37% |
| Mon, Nov 23 | @ Charlotte Hornets (4-8) | 68% |
| Wed, Nov 25 | vs LA Clippers (3-7) | 76% |
| Fri, Nov 27 | @ Minnesota Timberwolves (9-3) | 37% |
| Sun, Nov 29 | vs Los Angeles Lakers (11-2) | 56% |
| Tue, Dec 1 | @ Philadelphia 76ers (10-3) | 52% |
| Wed, Dec 2 | @ Detroit Pistons (8-4) | 46% |
Southwest standings
| Team | W-L | Playoffs | Win div |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | 11-2 | 98% | 59% |
| Houston Rockets | 10-3 | 91% | 26% |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 9-3 | 82% | 13% |
| Dallas Mavericks | 7-6 | 39% | 1% |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 4-9 | 1% | <1% |
Playoff path
| Milestone | Chance |
|---|---|
| Make the playoffs | 82% |
| Finish top six | 60% |
| Play-in (7th–10th) | 36% |
| Win a first-round series | 39% |
| Reach the conference finals | 17% |
| Reach the NBA Finals | 8% |
| Win the NBA title | 5% |
Frequently asked questions
Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the playoffs?
Our model gives the Grizzlies a 82% chance to make the 2027 NBA playoffs, including a 60% chance to finish in the top six and avoid the play-in. They are 9-3 and 6th in the West, in line for a direct playoff spot.
What are the Memphis Grizzlies' chances to win the NBA title?
5%, with a 8% chance to reach the NBA Finals.
What is the Memphis Grizzlies' projected record?
About 49-31, based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining schedule.