Ottawa Senators Playoff Chances 2026-27
The Ottawa Senators are 13-6-2 (28 points), 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They make the playoffs in 73% of our simulations and win the Stanley Cup in 3%.
Updated · Through games of November 14, 2026 · 20 of 84 games played per team on average
73%Make playoffs
14%Win Atlantic
16%Reach conf. finals
3%Win Stanley Cup
101 pointsProjected points
11thPower rating rank
63Games left (33 home)
W2Streak
Next 10 games
| Date | Opponent | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Tue, Nov 17 | @ Winnipeg Jets (10-8-3) | 51% |
| Thu, Nov 19 | vs Philadelphia Flyers (6-10-6) | 62% |
| Sat, Nov 21 | vs Los Angeles Kings (5-11-2) | 62% |
| Mon, Nov 23 | vs Calgary Flames (9-10-1) | 62% |
| Wed, Nov 25 | @ Florida Panthers (12-7-2) | 48% |
| Fri, Nov 27 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning (13-5-2) | 44% |
| Sat, Nov 28 | @ Carolina Hurricanes (16-3-2) | 38% |
| Mon, Nov 30 | @ Nashville Predators (11-4-5) | 45% |
| Thu, Dec 3 | vs New Jersey Devils (15-6-0) | 48% |
| Sat, Dec 5 | vs Tampa Bay Lightning (13-5-2) | 50% |
Atlantic standings
| Team | W-L-OTL | PTS | Playoffs | Win div |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 13-5-2 | 28 | 85% | 29% |
| Montreal Canadiens | 12-4-4 | 28 | 73% | 16% |
| Ottawa Senators | 13-6-2 | 28 | 73% | 14% |
| Boston Bruins | 13-6-1 | 27 | 86% | 31% |
| Florida Panthers | 12-7-2 | 26 | 60% | 8% |
| Buffalo Sabres | 8-8-4 | 20 | 11% | <1% |
| Detroit Red Wings | 8-10-3 | 19 | 18% | 1% |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 8-12-2 | 18 | 13% | <1% |
Playoff path
| Milestone | Chance |
|---|---|
| Make the playoffs | 73% |
| Win the division | 14% |
| Win a first-round series | 33% |
| Reach the conference finals | 16% |
| Reach the Stanley Cup Final | 7% |
| Win the Stanley Cup | 3% |
Frequently asked questions
Will the Ottawa Senators make the playoffs?
Our model gives the Senators a 73% chance to make the 2027 NHL playoffs. They are 13-6-2 and 3rd in the Atlantic Division.
What are the Ottawa Senators' chances to win the Stanley Cup?
3%, with a 7% chance to reach the Stanley Cup Final.
What is the Ottawa Senators' projected record?
The simulations project about 101 points over the 84-game season (now 28 points in 21 games).