Montreal Canadiens Playoff Chances 2026-27
The Montreal Canadiens are 12-4-4 (28 points), 2nd in the Atlantic Division. They make the playoffs in 73% of our simulations and win the Stanley Cup in 3%.
Updated · Through games of November 14, 2026 · 20 of 84 games played per team on average
73%Make playoffs
16%Win Atlantic
16%Reach conf. finals
3%Win Stanley Cup
102 pointsProjected points
12thPower rating rank
64Games left (31 home)
L1Streak
Next 10 games
| Date | Opponent | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Mon, Nov 16 | @ New York Rangers (12-8-1) | 46% |
| Wed, Nov 18 | @ New Jersey Devils (15-6-0) | 42% |
| Thu, Nov 19 | @ Carolina Hurricanes (16-3-2) | 38% |
| Sat, Nov 21 | vs Philadelphia Flyers (6-10-6) | 61% |
| Mon, Nov 23 | vs Los Angeles Kings (5-11-2) | 62% |
| Wed, Nov 25 | @ Colorado Avalanche (12-6-3) | 42% |
| Sat, Nov 28 | @ Vegas Golden Knights (13-5-3) | 45% |
| Mon, Nov 30 | @ Utah Mammoth (10-8-3) | 51% |
| Wed, Dec 2 | vs Tampa Bay Lightning (13-5-2) | 49% |
| Sat, Dec 5 | vs Florida Panthers (12-7-2) | 53% |
Atlantic standings
| Team | W-L-OTL | PTS | Playoffs | Win div |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 13-5-2 | 28 | 85% | 29% |
| Montreal Canadiens | 12-4-4 | 28 | 73% | 16% |
| Ottawa Senators | 13-6-2 | 28 | 73% | 14% |
| Boston Bruins | 13-6-1 | 27 | 86% | 31% |
| Florida Panthers | 12-7-2 | 26 | 60% | 8% |
| Buffalo Sabres | 8-8-4 | 20 | 11% | <1% |
| Detroit Red Wings | 8-10-3 | 19 | 18% | 1% |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 8-12-2 | 18 | 13% | <1% |
Playoff path
| Milestone | Chance |
|---|---|
| Make the playoffs | 73% |
| Win the division | 16% |
| Win a first-round series | 34% |
| Reach the conference finals | 16% |
| Reach the Stanley Cup Final | 6% |
| Win the Stanley Cup | 3% |
Frequently asked questions
Will the Montreal Canadiens make the playoffs?
Our model gives the Canadiens a 73% chance to make the 2027 NHL playoffs. They are 12-4-4 and 2nd in the Atlantic Division.
What are the Montreal Canadiens' chances to win the Stanley Cup?
3%, with a 6% chance to reach the Stanley Cup Final.
What is the Montreal Canadiens' projected record?
The simulations project about 102 points over the 84-game season (now 28 points in 20 games).