Playoff Picture

Toronto Maple Leafs Playoff Chances 2026-27

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 8-12-2 (18 points), outside the East playoff spots (13th in the conference). They make the playoffs in 13% of our simulations and win the Stanley Cup in <1%.

Updated · Through games of November 14, 2026 · 20 of 84 games played per team on average

13%Make playoffs
<1%Win Atlantic
2%Reach conf. finals
<1%Win Stanley Cup
84 pointsProjected points
22ndPower rating rank
62Games left (28 home)
L6Streak

Next 10 games

DateOpponentWin prob.Playoffs if WPlayoffs if L
Tue, Nov 17@ Chicago Blackhawks (5-13-2)57%––
Thu, Nov 19vs Los Angeles Kings (5-11-2)57%––
Sat, Nov 21vs Columbus Blue Jackets (7-11-0)56%––
Mon, Nov 23@ New York Islanders (9-6-4)43%––
Fri, Nov 27@ Boston Bruins (13-6-1)37%18%10%
Sat, Nov 28@ Pittsburgh Penguins (7-11-2)49%17%10%
Mon, Nov 30vs Philadelphia Flyers (6-10-6)56%––
Thu, Dec 3vs Florida Panthers (12-7-2)48%17%9%
Sat, Dec 5@ Carolina Hurricanes (16-3-2)33%18%11%
Wed, Dec 9@ Dallas Stars (11-6-2)43%17%10%

Atlantic standings

TeamW-L-OTLPTSPlayoffsWin div
Tampa Bay Lightning13-5-22885%29%
Montreal Canadiens12-4-42873%16%
Ottawa Senators13-6-22873%14%
Boston Bruins13-6-12786%31%
Florida Panthers12-7-22660%8%
Buffalo Sabres8-8-42011%<1%
Detroit Red Wings8-10-31918%1%
Toronto Maple Leafs8-12-21813%<1%

Playoff path

MilestoneChance
Make the playoffs13%
Win the division<1%
Win a first-round series5%
Reach the conference finals2%
Reach the Stanley Cup Final1%
Win the Stanley Cup<1%

Frequently asked questions

Will the Toronto Maple Leafs make the playoffs?

Our model gives the Maple Leafs a 13% chance to make the 2027 NHL playoffs. They are 8-12-2 and outside the East playoff spots (13th in the conference).

What are the Toronto Maple Leafs' chances to win the Stanley Cup?

<1%, with a 1% chance to reach the Stanley Cup Final.

What is the Toronto Maple Leafs' projected record?

The simulations project about 84 points over the 84-game season (now 18 points in 22 games).