Arizona Cardinals Playoff Chances
The Arizona Cardinals are 3-6 and are 3.0 games behind the final NFC wild-card spot (15th in the conference). Our model gives them a 1% chance to make the playoffs, <1% to win the NFC West and <1% to win Super Bowl LXI.
Updated · Standings include every game through Week 9 plus completed Week 10 games.
If the Cardinals miss the postseason, their average projected draft slot is No. 9.1, with a 23% chance at a top-5 pick and 1% at No. 1 (2027 draft order).
Remaining schedule and playoff odds by game
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sun, Nov 15 | vs Los Angeles Rams (5-4) | 35% |
| 11 | Sun, Nov 22 | @ Kansas City Chiefs (6-2) | 22% |
| 12 | Sun, Nov 29 | vs Washington Commanders (3-5-1) | 48% |
| 13 | Sun, Dec 6 | vs Philadelphia Eagles (2-7) | 57% |
| 15 | Sun, Dec 20 | vs New York Jets (2-7) | 49% |
| 16 | Sun, Dec 27 | @ New Orleans Saints (3-5) | 39% |
| 17 | Sun, Jan 3 | vs Las Vegas Raiders (4-5) | 46% |
| 18 | Sun, Jan 10 | vs San Francisco 49ers (7-1) | 26% |
"Playoffs if W/L" = playoff odds in the simulations where the Cardinals won or lost that game. A dash means the game barely moves their odds.
What record gets the Cardinals in?
Bars show how often the Cardinals finish with each win total; the number above each bar is how often that record made the playoffs.
NFC West race
| Team | W-L | Div | Win div | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco 49ers | 7-1 | 3-0 | 88% | 97% |
| Seattle Seahawks | 5-4 | 2-1 | 8% | 45% |
| Los Angeles Rams | 5-4 | 0-2 | 4% | 34% |
| Arizona Cardinals | 3-6 | 1-3 | <1% | 1% |
Predict the Cardinals' season
Click W or L for each remaining game to see the final record and how often that record made the playoffs in our simulations. For every team at once, use the NFL playoff predictor.
2026 results
| Wk | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Los Angeles Chargers | W 26-14 |
| 2 | vs Seattle Seahawks | L 7-31 |
| 3 | @ San Francisco 49ers | L 30-36 |
| 4 | @ New York Giants | L 24-36 |
| 5 | vs Detroit Lions | L 21-45 |
| 6 | @ Los Angeles Rams | W 18-16 |
| 7 | vs Denver Broncos | L 16-30 |
| 8 | @ Dallas Cowboys | W 33-30 |
| 9 | @ Seattle Seahawks | L 3-17 |
Frequently asked questions
Can the Arizona Cardinals still make the playoffs?
Yes. At 3-6, the Cardinals make the playoffs in 1% of our 20,000 simulations of the remaining schedule.
What record do the Arizona Cardinals need to make the playoffs?
In our simulations the Cardinals made the playoffs 91% of the time when they finished with 11 wins. Their most likely final record is 6-11.
What are the Arizona Cardinals' chances of winning the NFC West?
<1%. San Francisco 49ers lead the division at 7-1.
Who do the Arizona Cardinals play next?
Against the Los Angeles Rams on November 15, 2026 (Week 10, CBS). Our model gives the Cardinals a 35% chance to win.