Los Angeles Chargers Playoff Chances
The Los Angeles Chargers are 0-8 and are 4.5 games behind the final AFC wild-card spot (16th in the conference). Our model gives them a <1% chance to make the playoffs, 0% to win the AFC West and 0% to win Super Bowl LXI.
Updated · Standings include every game through Week 9 plus completed Week 10 games.
If the Chargers miss the postseason, their average projected draft slot is No. 2.5, with a 91% chance at a top-5 pick and 47% at No. 1 (2027 draft order).
Remaining schedule and playoff odds by game
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mon, Nov 16 | @ Baltimore Ravens (4-5) | 34% |
| 11 | Sun, Nov 22 | vs New York Jets (2-7) | 42% |
| 12 | Sun, Nov 29 | vs New England Patriots (5-4) | 29% |
| 13 | Sun, Dec 6 | @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-6) | 20% |
| 14 | Sun, Dec 13 | @ Las Vegas Raiders (4-5) | 30% |
| 15 | Thu, Dec 17 | vs San Francisco 49ers (7-1) | 20% |
| 16 | Sun, Dec 27 | @ Miami Dolphins (1-7) | 38% |
| 17 | Sun, Jan 3 | vs Kansas City Chiefs (6-2) | 24% |
| 18 | Sun, Jan 10 | @ Denver Broncos (7-2) | 21% |
"Playoffs if W/L" = playoff odds in the simulations where the Chargers won or lost that game. A dash means the game barely moves their odds.
What record gets the Chargers in?
Bars show how often the Chargers finish with each win total; the number above each bar is how often that record made the playoffs.
AFC West race
| Team | W-L | Div | Win div | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos | 7-2 | 2-1 | 50% | 90% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 6-2 | 3-1 | 47% | 90% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 4-5 | 1-1 | 3% | 18% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 0-8 | 0-3 | 0% | <1% |
Predict the Chargers' season
Click W or L for each remaining game to see the final record and how often that record made the playoffs in our simulations. For every team at once, use the NFL playoff predictor.
2026 results
| Wk | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Arizona Cardinals | L 14-26 |
| 2 | vs Las Vegas Raiders | L 14-26 |
| 3 | @ Buffalo Bills | L 16-24 |
| 4 | @ Seattle Seahawks | L 23-30 |
| 5 | vs Denver Broncos | L 17-23 |
| 6 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | L 6-22 |
| 8 | @ Los Angeles Rams | L 9-24 |
| 9 | vs Houston Texans | L 22-44 |
Frequently asked questions
Can the Los Angeles Chargers still make the playoffs?
Yes. At 0-8, the Chargers make the playoffs in <1% of our 20,000 simulations of the remaining schedule.
What record do the Los Angeles Chargers need to make the playoffs?
The Chargers would need to win nearly every remaining game; even their best simulated finishes rarely reached the playoffs.
What are the Los Angeles Chargers' chances of winning the AFC West?
0%. Denver Broncos lead the division at 7-2.
Who do the Los Angeles Chargers play next?
At the Baltimore Ravens on November 16, 2026 (Week 10, ESPN). Our model gives the Chargers a 34% chance to win.