Baltimore Ravens Playoff Chances
The Baltimore Ravens are 4-5 and are 1.0 games behind the final AFC wild-card spot (10th in the conference). Our model gives them a 8% chance to make the playoffs, 1% to win the AFC North and <1% to win Super Bowl LXI.
Updated · Standings include every game through Week 9 plus completed Week 10 games.
If the Ravens miss the postseason, their average projected draft slot is No. 11.9, with a 8% chance at a top-5 pick and <1% at No. 1 (2027 draft order).
Remaining schedule and playoff odds by game
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mon, Nov 16 | vs Los Angeles Chargers (0-8) | 66% |
| 11 | Sun, Nov 22 | @ Carolina Panthers (3-5) | 40% |
| 12 | Sun, Nov 29 | @ Houston Texans (3-5) | 32% |
| 14 | Sun, Dec 13 | vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-6) | 38% |
| 15 | Sun, Dec 20 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2) | 29% |
| 16 | Sun, Dec 27 | vs Cleveland Browns (5-4) | 52% |
| 17 | Thu, Dec 31 | @ Cincinnati Bengals (6-2) | 22% |
| 18 | Sun, Jan 10 | vs Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2) | 37% |
"Playoffs if W/L" = playoff odds in the simulations where the Ravens won or lost that game. A dash means the game barely moves their odds.
Who should Ravens fans root for in Week 10?
| Game | Root for | Odds if yes | Odds if no |
|---|---|---|---|
| Steelers @ Bengals | Cincinnati Bengals | 9% | 7% |
| Patriots @ Lions | Detroit Lions | 9% | 8% |
| Seahawks @ Raiders | Seattle Seahawks | 9% | 8% |
| Panthers @ Saints | New Orleans Saints | 9% | 8% |
| Chiefs @ Falcons | Atlanta Falcons | 9% | 8% |
What record gets the Ravens in?
Bars show how often the Ravens finish with each win total; the number above each bar is how often that record made the playoffs.
AFC North race
| Team | W-L | Div | Win div | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 6-2 | 2-1 | 36% | 84% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 6-2 | 1-1 | 60% | 93% |
| Cleveland Browns | 5-4 | 2-1 | 4% | 30% |
| Baltimore Ravens | 4-5 | 0-2 | 1% | 8% |
Predict the Ravens' season
Click W or L for each remaining game to see the final record and how often that record made the playoffs in our simulations. For every team at once, use the NFL playoff predictor.
2026 results
| Wk | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Indianapolis Colts | W 41-23 |
| 2 | vs New Orleans Saints | L 17-24 |
| 3 | @ Dallas Cowboys | W 34-31 |
| 4 | vs Tennessee Titans | W 24-18 |
| 5 | @ Atlanta Falcons | W 30-23 |
| 6 | @ Cleveland Browns | L 10-13 |
| 7 | vs Cincinnati Bengals | L 13-35 |
| 8 | @ Buffalo Bills | L 10-36 |
| 9 | vs Jacksonville Jaguars | L 10-33 |
Frequently asked questions
Can the Baltimore Ravens still make the playoffs?
Yes. At 4-5, the Ravens make the playoffs in 8% of our 20,000 simulations of the remaining schedule.
What record do the Baltimore Ravens need to make the playoffs?
In our simulations the Ravens made the playoffs 99% of the time when they finished with 11 wins and 73% of the time with 10 wins. Their most likely final record is 7-10.
What are the Baltimore Ravens' chances of winning the AFC North?
1%. Pittsburgh Steelers lead the division at 6-2.
Who do the Baltimore Ravens play next?
Against the Los Angeles Chargers on November 16, 2026 (Week 10, ESPN). Our model gives the Ravens a 66% chance to win.