Seattle Seahawks Playoff Chances
The Seattle Seahawks are 5-4 and are 1.0 games behind the final NFC wild-card spot (8th in the conference). Our model gives them a 45% chance to make the playoffs, 8% to win the NFC West and 2% to win Super Bowl LXI.
Updated · Standings include every game through Week 9 plus completed Week 10 games.
If the Seahawks miss the postseason, their average projected draft slot is No. 19.6, with a <1% chance at a top-5 pick and 0% at No. 1 (2027 draft order).
Remaining schedule and playoff odds by game
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sun, Nov 15 | @ Las Vegas Raiders (4-5) | 58% |
| 12 | Sun, Nov 29 | @ San Francisco 49ers (7-1) | 37% |
| 13 | Mon, Dec 7 | vs Dallas Cowboys (4-5) | 62% |
| 14 | Sun, Dec 13 | vs New York Giants (5-3-1) | 65% |
| 15 | Sat, Dec 19 | @ Philadelphia Eagles (2-7) | 69% |
| 16 | Fri, Dec 25 | vs Los Angeles Rams (5-4) | 57% |
| 17 | Sun, Jan 3 | @ Carolina Panthers (3-5) | 57% |
| 18 | Sun, Jan 10 | @ Los Angeles Rams (5-4) | 48% |
"Playoffs if W/L" = playoff odds in the simulations where the Seahawks won or lost that game. A dash means the game barely moves their odds.
Who should Seahawks fans root for in Week 10?
| Game | Root for | Odds if yes | Odds if no |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rams @ Cardinals | Arizona Cardinals | 49% | 42% |
| Vikings @ Packers | Minnesota Vikings | 47% | 44% |
| Patriots @ Lions | New England Patriots | 46% | 44% |
What record gets the Seahawks in?
Bars show how often the Seahawks finish with each win total; the number above each bar is how often that record made the playoffs.
NFC West race
| Team | W-L | Div | Win div | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco 49ers | 7-1 | 3-0 | 88% | 97% |
| Seattle Seahawks | 5-4 | 2-1 | 8% | 45% |
| Los Angeles Rams | 5-4 | 0-2 | 4% | 34% |
| Arizona Cardinals | 3-6 | 1-3 | <1% | 1% |
Predict the Seahawks' season
Click W or L for each remaining game to see the final record and how often that record made the playoffs in our simulations. For every team at once, use the NFL playoff predictor.
2026 results
| Wk | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs New England Patriots | W 13-10 |
| 2 | @ Arizona Cardinals | W 31-7 |
| 3 | @ Washington Commanders | L 31-33 |
| 4 | vs Los Angeles Chargers | W 30-23 |
| 5 | vs San Francisco 49ers | L 29-32 |
| 6 | @ Denver Broncos | L 14-17 |
| 7 | vs Kansas City Chiefs | W 20-3 |
| 8 | vs Chicago Bears | L 17-34 |
| 9 | vs Arizona Cardinals | W 17-3 |
Frequently asked questions
Can the Seattle Seahawks still make the playoffs?
Yes. At 5-4, the Seahawks make the playoffs in 45% of our 20,000 simulations of the remaining schedule.
What record do the Seattle Seahawks need to make the playoffs?
In our simulations the Seahawks made the playoffs 96% of the time when they finished with 11 wins and 65% of the time with 10 wins. Their most likely final record is 9-8.
What are the Seattle Seahawks' chances of winning the NFC West?
8%. San Francisco 49ers lead the division at 7-1.
Who do the Seattle Seahawks play next?
At the Las Vegas Raiders on November 15, 2026 (Week 10, CBS). Our model gives the Seahawks a 58% chance to win.