Minnesota Vikings Playoff Chances
The Minnesota Vikings are 6-2 and hold the No. 6 seed in the NFC as a wild card. Our model gives them a 82% chance to make the playoffs, 29% to win the NFC North and 6% to win Super Bowl LXI.
Updated · Standings include every game through Week 9 plus completed Week 10 games.
Remaining schedule and playoff odds by game
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sun, Nov 15 | @ Green Bay Packers (6-3) | 46% |
| 11 | Sun, Nov 22 | @ San Francisco 49ers (7-1) | 43% |
| 12 | Sun, Nov 29 | vs Atlanta Falcons (3-6) | 66% |
| 13 | Sun, Dec 6 | vs Carolina Panthers (3-5) | 67% |
| 14 | Thu, Dec 10 | @ New England Patriots (5-4) | 49% |
| 15 | Sun, Dec 20 | vs Detroit Lions (6-2) | 57% |
| 16 | Sun, Dec 27 | vs Washington Commanders (3-5-1) | 71% |
| 17 | Sun, Jan 3 | @ New York Jets (2-7) | 63% |
| 18 | Sun, Jan 10 | vs Chicago Bears (7-2) | 51% |
"Playoffs if W/L" = playoff odds in the simulations where the Vikings won or lost that game. A dash means the game barely moves their odds.
Who should Vikings fans root for in Week 10?
| Game | Root for | Odds if yes | Odds if no |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seahawks @ Raiders | Las Vegas Raiders | 84% | 81% |
| Rams @ Cardinals | Arizona Cardinals | 83% | 81% |
| Patriots @ Lions | New England Patriots | 83% | 81% |
| Chiefs @ Falcons | Kansas City Chiefs | 83% | 81% |
What record gets the Vikings in?
Bars show how often the Vikings finish with each win total; the number above each bar is how often that record made the playoffs.
NFC North race
| Team | W-L | Div | Win div | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bears | 7-2 | 0-2 | 32% | 87% |
| Detroit Lions | 6-2 | 2-0 | 26% | 75% |
| Minnesota Vikings | 6-2 | 2-1 | 29% | 82% |
| Green Bay Packers | 6-3 | 1-2 | 13% | 68% |
Predict the Vikings' season
Click W or L for each remaining game to see the final record and how often that record made the playoffs in our simulations. For every team at once, use the NFL playoff predictor.
2026 results
| Wk | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Green Bay Packers | W 39-22 |
| 2 | @ Chicago Bears | W 9-3 |
| 3 | @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | W 23-16 |
| 4 | vs Miami Dolphins | W 15-10 |
| 5 | @ New Orleans Saints | W 23-13 |
| 7 | vs Indianapolis Colts | W 16-10 |
| 8 | @ Detroit Lions | L 15-19 |
| 9 | vs Buffalo Bills | L 6-23 |
Frequently asked questions
Can the Minnesota Vikings still make the playoffs?
Yes. At 6-2, the Vikings make the playoffs in 82% of our 20,000 simulations of the remaining schedule.
What record do the Minnesota Vikings need to make the playoffs?
In our simulations the Vikings made the playoffs 99% of the time when they finished with 11 wins and 83% of the time with 10 wins. Their most likely final record is 11-6.
What are the Minnesota Vikings' chances of winning the NFC North?
29%. Chicago Bears lead the division at 7-2.
Who do the Minnesota Vikings play next?
At the Green Bay Packers on November 15, 2026 (Week 10, Fox). Our model gives the Vikings a 46% chance to win.