Indianapolis Colts Playoff Chances
The Indianapolis Colts are 2-7 and are 3.0 games behind the final AFC wild-card spot (13th in the conference). Our model gives them a 1% chance to make the playoffs, <1% to win the AFC South and <1% to win Super Bowl LXI.
Updated · Standings include every game through Week 9 plus completed Week 10 games.
If the Colts miss the postseason, their average projected draft slot is No. 6.4, with a 49% chance at a top-5 pick and 5% at No. 1 (2027 draft order).
Remaining schedule and playoff odds by game
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sun, Nov 15 | vs Miami Dolphins (1-7) | 58% |
| 11 | Thu, Nov 19 | @ Houston Texans (3-5) | 31% |
| 12 | Sun, Nov 29 | vs New York Giants (5-3-1) | 48% |
| 14 | Sun, Dec 13 | @ Philadelphia Eagles (2-7) | 52% |
| 15 | Sun, Dec 20 | @ Tennessee Titans (1-7) | 51% |
| 16 | Sun, Dec 27 | vs Cincinnati Bengals (6-2) | 29% |
| 17 | Sun, Jan 3 | @ Cleveland Browns (5-4) | 42% |
| 18 | Sun, Jan 10 | vs Jacksonville Jaguars (6-2) | 24% |
"Playoffs if W/L" = playoff odds in the simulations where the Colts won or lost that game. A dash means the game barely moves their odds.
What record gets the Colts in?
Bars show how often the Colts finish with each win total; the number above each bar is how often that record made the playoffs.
AFC South race
| Team | W-L | Div | Win div | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 6-2 | 1-1 | 93% | 98% |
| Houston Texans | 3-5 | 2-1 | 6% | 25% |
| Indianapolis Colts | 2-7 | 1-2 | <1% | 1% |
| Tennessee Titans | 1-7 | 1-1 | <1% | <1% |
Predict the Colts' season
Click W or L for each remaining game to see the final record and how often that record made the playoffs in our simulations. For every team at once, use the NFL playoff predictor.
2026 results
| Wk | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Baltimore Ravens | L 23-41 |
| 2 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | L 30-33 |
| 3 | vs Houston Texans | W 19-17 |
| 4 | @ Washington Commanders | W 30-13 |
| 5 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | L 22-34 |
| 6 | vs Tennessee Titans | L 20-26 |
| 7 | @ Minnesota Vikings | L 10-16 |
| 8 | @ Jacksonville Jaguars | L 7-42 |
| 9 | vs Dallas Cowboys | L 23-27 |
Frequently asked questions
Can the Indianapolis Colts still make the playoffs?
Yes. At 2-7, the Colts make the playoffs in 1% of our 20,000 simulations of the remaining schedule.
What record do the Indianapolis Colts need to make the playoffs?
The Colts would need to win nearly every remaining game; even their best simulated finishes rarely reached the playoffs.
What are the Indianapolis Colts' chances of winning the AFC South?
<1%. Jacksonville Jaguars lead the division at 6-2.
Who do the Indianapolis Colts play next?
Against the Miami Dolphins on November 15, 2026 (Week 10, CBS). Our model gives the Colts a 58% chance to win.