Pittsburgh Steelers Playoff Chances
The Pittsburgh Steelers are 6-2 and hold the No. 4 seed in the AFC as the AFC North leader. Our model gives them a 84% chance to make the playoffs, 36% to win the AFC North and 4% to win Super Bowl LXI.
Updated · Standings include every game through Week 9 plus completed Week 10 games.
Remaining schedule and playoff odds by game
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sun, Nov 15 | @ Cincinnati Bengals (6-2) | 37% |
| 11 | Sun, Nov 22 | @ Philadelphia Eagles (2-7) | 70% |
| 12 | Fri, Nov 27 | vs Denver Broncos (7-2) | 57% |
| 13 | Sun, Dec 6 | vs Houston Texans (3-5) | 59% |
| 14 | Mon, Dec 14 | @ Jacksonville Jaguars (6-2) | 32% |
| 15 | Sun, Dec 20 | vs Baltimore Ravens (4-5) | 71% |
| 16 | Sun, Dec 27 | vs Carolina Panthers (3-5) | 66% |
| 17 | Sun, Jan 3 | @ Tennessee Titans (1-7) | 69% |
| 18 | Sun, Jan 10 | @ Baltimore Ravens (4-5) | 63% |
"Playoffs if W/L" = playoff odds in the simulations where the Steelers won or lost that game. A dash means the game barely moves their odds.
Who should Steelers fans root for in Week 10?
| Game | Root for | Odds if yes | Odds if no |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seahawks @ Raiders | Seattle Seahawks | 85% | 82% |
| Patriots @ Lions | Detroit Lions | 85% | 82% |
| Chargers @ Ravens | Los Angeles Chargers | 85% | 83% |
What record gets the Steelers in?
Bars show how often the Steelers finish with each win total; the number above each bar is how often that record made the playoffs.
AFC North race
| Team | W-L | Div | Win div | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 6-2 | 2-1 | 36% | 84% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 6-2 | 1-1 | 60% | 93% |
| Cleveland Browns | 5-4 | 2-1 | 4% | 30% |
| Baltimore Ravens | 4-5 | 0-2 | 1% | 8% |
Predict the Steelers' season
Click W or L for each remaining game to see the final record and how often that record made the playoffs in our simulations. For every team at once, use the NFL playoff predictor.
2026 results
| Wk | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Atlanta Falcons | W 20-13 |
| 2 | @ New England Patriots | L 3-20 |
| 3 | vs Cincinnati Bengals | W 30-27 |
| 4 | @ Cleveland Browns | L 24-27 |
| 5 | vs Indianapolis Colts | W 34-22 |
| 6 | @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | W 26-19 |
| 7 | @ New Orleans Saints | W 16-10 |
| 8 | vs Cleveland Browns | W 27-6 |
Frequently asked questions
Can the Pittsburgh Steelers still make the playoffs?
Yes. At 6-2, the Steelers make the playoffs in 84% of our 20,000 simulations of the remaining schedule.
What record do the Pittsburgh Steelers need to make the playoffs?
In our simulations the Steelers made the playoffs 99% of the time when they finished with 11 wins and 83% of the time with 10 wins. Their most likely final record is 11-6.
What are the Pittsburgh Steelers' chances of winning the AFC North?
36%. They lead the division at 6-2.
Who do the Pittsburgh Steelers play next?
At the Cincinnati Bengals on November 15, 2026 (Week 10, NBC). Our model gives the Steelers a 37% chance to win.