Cleveland Browns Playoff Chances
The Cleveland Browns are 5-4 and are tied with the No. 7 seed but lose the tiebreaker, 8th in the AFC. Our model gives them a 30% chance to make the playoffs, 4% to win the AFC North and <1% to win Super Bowl LXI.
Updated · Standings include every game through Week 9 plus completed Week 10 games.
If the Browns miss the postseason, their average projected draft slot is No. 16.0, with a 1% chance at a top-5 pick and 0% at No. 1 (2027 draft order).
Remaining schedule and playoff odds by game
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sun, Nov 15 | vs Houston Texans (3-5) | 44% |
| 12 | Sun, Nov 29 | vs Las Vegas Raiders (4-5) | 53% |
| 13 | Sun, Dec 6 | vs Cincinnati Bengals (6-2) | 32% |
| 14 | Sun, Dec 13 | vs Atlanta Falcons (3-6) | 50% |
| 15 | Sun, Dec 20 | @ New York Giants (5-3-1) | 42% |
| 16 | Sun, Dec 27 | @ Baltimore Ravens (4-5) | 48% |
| 17 | Sun, Jan 3 | vs Indianapolis Colts (2-7) | 58% |
| 18 | Sun, Jan 10 | @ Cincinnati Bengals (6-2) | 24% |
"Playoffs if W/L" = playoff odds in the simulations where the Browns won or lost that game. A dash means the game barely moves their odds.
Who should Browns fans root for in Week 10?
| Game | Root for | Odds if yes | Odds if no |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots @ Lions | Detroit Lions | 32% | 27% |
| Seahawks @ Raiders | Seattle Seahawks | 31% | 28% |
| Chiefs @ Falcons | Atlanta Falcons | 31% | 29% |
What record gets the Browns in?
Bars show how often the Browns finish with each win total; the number above each bar is how often that record made the playoffs.
AFC North race
| Team | W-L | Div | Win div | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 6-2 | 2-1 | 36% | 84% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 6-2 | 1-1 | 60% | 93% |
| Cleveland Browns | 5-4 | 2-1 | 4% | 30% |
| Baltimore Ravens | 4-5 | 0-2 | 1% | 8% |
Predict the Browns' season
Click W or L for each remaining game to see the final record and how often that record made the playoffs in our simulations. For every team at once, use the NFL playoff predictor.
2026 results
| Wk | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Jacksonville Jaguars | L 10-34 |
| 2 | @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | W 23-19 |
| 3 | vs Carolina Panthers | W 21-18 |
| 4 | vs Pittsburgh Steelers | W 27-24 |
| 5 | @ New York Jets | L 12-17 |
| 6 | vs Baltimore Ravens | W 13-10 |
| 7 | @ Tennessee Titans | W 27-24 |
| 8 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | L 6-27 |
| 9 | @ New Orleans Saints | L 22-23 |
Frequently asked questions
Can the Cleveland Browns still make the playoffs?
Yes. At 5-4, the Browns make the playoffs in 30% of our 20,000 simulations of the remaining schedule.
What record do the Cleveland Browns need to make the playoffs?
In our simulations the Browns made the playoffs 98% of the time when they finished with 11 wins and 75% of the time with 10 wins. Their most likely final record is 8-9.
What are the Cleveland Browns' chances of winning the AFC North?
4%. Pittsburgh Steelers lead the division at 6-2.
Who do the Cleveland Browns play next?
Against the Houston Texans on November 15, 2026 (Week 10, Fox). Our model gives the Browns a 44% chance to win.