Jacksonville Jaguars Playoff Chances
The Jacksonville Jaguars are 6-2 and hold the No. 3 seed in the AFC as the AFC South leader. Our model gives them a 98% chance to make the playoffs, 93% to win the AFC South and 14% to win Super Bowl LXI.
Updated · Standings include every game through Week 9 plus completed Week 10 games.
Remaining schedule and playoff odds by game
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sun, Nov 15 | @ Tennessee Titans (1-7) | 80% |
| 11 | Sun, Nov 22 | @ New York Giants (5-3-1) | 70% |
| 12 | Sun, Nov 29 | vs Tennessee Titans (1-7) | 86% |
| 13 | Sun, Dec 6 | @ Chicago Bears (7-2) | 54% |
| 14 | Mon, Dec 14 | vs Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2) | 68% |
| 15 | Sun, Dec 20 | @ Houston Texans (3-5) | 63% |
| 16 | Sun, Dec 27 | @ Dallas Cowboys (4-5) | 67% |
| 17 | Sun, Jan 3 | vs Washington Commanders (3-5-1) | 80% |
| 18 | Sun, Jan 10 | @ Indianapolis Colts (2-7) | 76% |
"Playoffs if W/L" = playoff odds in the simulations where the Jaguars won or lost that game. A dash means the game barely moves their odds.
Who should Jaguars fans root for in Week 10?
| Game | Root for | Odds if yes | Odds if no |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texans @ Browns | Cleveland Browns | 98% | 97% |
What record gets the Jaguars in?
Bars show how often the Jaguars finish with each win total; the number above each bar is how often that record made the playoffs.
AFC South race
| Team | W-L | Div | Win div | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 6-2 | 1-1 | 93% | 98% |
| Houston Texans | 3-5 | 2-1 | 6% | 25% |
| Indianapolis Colts | 2-7 | 1-2 | <1% | 1% |
| Tennessee Titans | 1-7 | 1-1 | <1% | <1% |
Predict the Jaguars' season
Click W or L for each remaining game to see the final record and how often that record made the playoffs in our simulations. For every team at once, use the NFL playoff predictor.
2026 results
| Wk | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Cleveland Browns | W 34-10 |
| 2 | @ Denver Broncos | L 13-20 |
| 3 | vs New England Patriots | W 35-6 |
| 4 | @ Cincinnati Bengals | W 22-17 |
| 5 | vs Philadelphia Eagles | W 19-17 |
| 6 | vs Houston Texans | L 31-34 |
| 8 | vs Indianapolis Colts | W 42-7 |
| 9 | @ Baltimore Ravens | W 33-10 |
Frequently asked questions
Can the Jacksonville Jaguars still make the playoffs?
Yes. At 6-2, the Jaguars make the playoffs in 98% of our 20,000 simulations of the remaining schedule.
What record do the Jacksonville Jaguars need to make the playoffs?
In our simulations the Jaguars made the playoffs 96% of the time when they finished with 10 wins and 66% of the time with 9 wins. Their most likely final record is 13-4.
What are the Jacksonville Jaguars' chances of winning the AFC South?
93%. They lead the division at 6-2.
Who do the Jacksonville Jaguars play next?
At the Tennessee Titans on November 15, 2026 (Week 10, Fox). Our model gives the Jaguars a 80% chance to win.