Denver Broncos Playoff Chances
The Denver Broncos are 7-2 and hold the No. 2 seed in the AFC as the AFC West leader. Our model gives them a 90% chance to make the playoffs, 50% to win the AFC West and 4% to win Super Bowl LXI.
Updated · Standings include every game through Week 9 plus completed Week 10 games.
Remaining schedule and playoff odds by game
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sun, Nov 22 | vs Las Vegas Raiders (4-5) | 65% |
| 12 | Fri, Nov 27 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2) | 43% |
| 13 | Sun, Dec 6 | vs Miami Dolphins (1-7) | 73% |
| 14 | Sun, Dec 13 | @ New York Jets (2-7) | 60% |
| 15 | Sun, Dec 20 | @ Las Vegas Raiders (4-5) | 56% |
| 16 | Fri, Dec 25 | vs Buffalo Bills (7-1) | 44% |
| 17 | Sun, Jan 3 | @ New England Patriots (5-4) | 46% |
| 18 | Sun, Jan 10 | vs Los Angeles Chargers (0-8) | 79% |
"Playoffs if W/L" = playoff odds in the simulations where the Broncos won or lost that game. A dash means the game barely moves their odds.
Who should Broncos fans root for in Week 10?
| Game | Root for | Odds if yes | Odds if no |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots @ Lions | Detroit Lions | 92% | 88% |
| Seahawks @ Raiders | Seattle Seahawks | 91% | 89% |
What record gets the Broncos in?
Bars show how often the Broncos finish with each win total; the number above each bar is how often that record made the playoffs.
AFC West race
| Team | W-L | Div | Win div | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos | 7-2 | 2-1 | 50% | 90% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 6-2 | 3-1 | 47% | 90% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 4-5 | 1-1 | 3% | 18% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 0-8 | 0-3 | 0% | <1% |
Predict the Broncos' season
Click W or L for each remaining game to see the final record and how often that record made the playoffs in our simulations. For every team at once, use the NFL playoff predictor.
2026 results
| Wk | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | L 10-31 |
| 2 | vs Jacksonville Jaguars | W 20-13 |
| 3 | vs Los Angeles Rams | W 30-26 |
| 4 | @ San Francisco 49ers | L 14-24 |
| 5 | @ Los Angeles Chargers | W 23-17 |
| 6 | vs Seattle Seahawks | W 17-14 |
| 7 | @ Arizona Cardinals | W 30-16 |
| 8 | vs Kansas City Chiefs | W 28-24 |
| 9 | @ Carolina Panthers | W 26-21 |
Frequently asked questions
Can the Denver Broncos still make the playoffs?
Yes. At 7-2, the Broncos make the playoffs in 90% of our 20,000 simulations of the remaining schedule.
What record do the Denver Broncos need to make the playoffs?
In our simulations the Broncos made the playoffs >99% of the time when they finished with 11 wins and 82% of the time with 10 wins. Their most likely final record is 12-5.
What are the Denver Broncos' chances of winning the AFC West?
50%. They lead the division at 7-2.
Who do the Denver Broncos play next?
Against the Las Vegas Raiders on November 22, 2026 (Week 11, CBS). Our model gives the Broncos a 65% chance to win.