New York Jets Playoff Chances
The New York Jets are 2-7 and are 3.0 games behind the final AFC wild-card spot (12th in the conference). Our model gives them a 1% chance to make the playoffs, <1% to win the AFC East and <1% to win Super Bowl LXI.
Updated · Standings include every game through Week 9 plus completed Week 10 games.
If the Jets miss the postseason, their average projected draft slot is No. 6.9, with a 43% chance at a top-5 pick and 3% at No. 1 (2027 draft order).
Remaining schedule and playoff odds by game
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sun, Nov 15 | vs Buffalo Bills (7-1) | 31% |
| 11 | Sun, Nov 22 | @ Los Angeles Chargers (0-8) | 58% |
| 12 | Sun, Nov 29 | @ Miami Dolphins (1-7) | 50% |
| 14 | Sun, Dec 13 | vs Denver Broncos (7-2) | 40% |
| 15 | Sun, Dec 20 | @ Arizona Cardinals (3-6) | 51% |
| 16 | Sun, Dec 27 | vs New England Patriots (5-4) | 41% |
| 17 | Sun, Jan 3 | vs Minnesota Vikings (6-2) | 37% |
| 18 | Sun, Jan 10 | @ Buffalo Bills (7-1) | 23% |
"Playoffs if W/L" = playoff odds in the simulations where the Jets won or lost that game. A dash means the game barely moves their odds.
What record gets the Jets in?
Bars show how often the Jets finish with each win total; the number above each bar is how often that record made the playoffs.
AFC East race
| Team | W-L | Div | Win div | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | 7-1 | 0-1 | 88% | 98% |
| New England Patriots | 5-4 | 3-0 | 12% | 63% |
| New York Jets | 2-7 | 0-2 | <1% | 1% |
| Miami Dolphins | 1-7 | 1-1 | <1% | <1% |
Predict the Jets' season
Click W or L for each remaining game to see the final record and how often that record made the playoffs in our simulations. For every team at once, use the NFL playoff predictor.
2026 results
| Wk | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Tennessee Titans | W 23-10 |
| 2 | vs Green Bay Packers | L 17-20 |
| 3 | @ Detroit Lions | L 24-31 |
| 4 | @ Chicago Bears | L 12-23 |
| 5 | vs Cleveland Browns | W 17-12 |
| 6 | @ New England Patriots | L 19-26 |
| 7 | vs Miami Dolphins | L 25-28 |
| 8 | vs Las Vegas Raiders | L 33-38 |
| 9 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | L 12-35 |
Frequently asked questions
Can the New York Jets still make the playoffs?
Yes. At 2-7, the Jets make the playoffs in 1% of our 20,000 simulations of the remaining schedule.
What record do the New York Jets need to make the playoffs?
The Jets would need to win nearly every remaining game; even their best simulated finishes rarely reached the playoffs.
What are the New York Jets' chances of winning the AFC East?
<1%. Buffalo Bills lead the division at 7-1.
Who do the New York Jets play next?
Against the Buffalo Bills on November 15, 2026 (Week 10, CBS). Our model gives the Jets a 31% chance to win.