NFL Survivor Pool Picks Week 10 2026: Win Odds for Every Team

Win probabilities for every team this week and for the rest of the season, so you can pick a safe survivor team now without burning a team you'll need later.

Week 10 survivor rankings

#	Team	Opponent	Win prob.	Future 70%+ weeks
1	Jacksonville Jaguars	@ Titans	80%	3
2	Buffalo Bills	@ Jets	69%	3
3	Baltimore Ravens	vs Chargers	66%	0
4	Los Angeles Rams	@ Cardinals	65%	0
5	Cincinnati Bengals	vs Steelers	63%	4
6	San Francisco 49ers	@ Cowboys	62%	3
7	Kansas City Chiefs	@ Falcons	59%	3
8	Seattle Seahawks	@ Raiders	58%	0
9	Indianapolis Colts	vs Dolphins	58%	0
10	Houston Texans	@ Browns	56%	1
11	Green Bay Packers	vs Vikings	54%	1
12	Detroit Lions	vs Patriots	52%	1
13	New Orleans Saints	vs Panthers	50%	0
14	Carolina Panthers	@ Saints	50%	0
15	New England Patriots	@ Lions	48%	2
16	Minnesota Vikings	@ Packers	46%	1
17	Cleveland Browns	vs Texans	44%	0
18	Miami Dolphins	@ Colts	42%	0
19	Las Vegas Raiders	vs Seahawks	42%	1
20	Atlanta Falcons	vs Chiefs	41%	0

Mark the teams you've already used; your choices stay in this browser. Future 70%+ weeks = remaining weeks after this one where the team is at least a 70% favorite.

Win probability grid, rest of season

Team	Wk 10	Wk 11	Wk 12	Wk 13	Wk 14	Wk 15	Wk 16	Wk 17	Wk 18
Arizona Cardinals	35	22	48	57	bye	49	39	46	26
Atlanta Falcons	41	bye	34	45	50	50	45	60	47
Baltimore Ravens	66	40	32	bye	38	29	52	22	37
Buffalo Bills	69	81	60	56	53	58	56	74	77
Carolina Panthers	50	60	35	33	59	35	34	43	53
Chicago Bears	bye	74	51	46	71	42	60	61	49
Cincinnati Bengals	63	69	77	68	60	65	71	78	76
Cleveland Browns	44	bye	53	32	50	42	48	58	24
Dallas Cowboys	38	70	71	38	bye	40	33	58	53
Denver Broncos	bye	65	43	73	60	56	44	46	79
Detroit Lions	52	55	49	55	76	43	65	39	44
Green Bay Packers	54	bye	48	61	47	75	40	59	56
Houston Texans	56	69	68	41	57	37	66	41	74
Indianapolis Colts	58	31	48	bye	52	51	29	42	24
Jacksonville Jaguars	80	70	86	54	68	63	67	80	76
Kansas City Chiefs	59	78	40	51	40	61	50	76	70
Las Vegas Raiders	42	35	47	bye	70	44	65	54	30
Los Angeles Chargers	34	42	29	20	30	20	38	24	21
Los Angeles Rams	65	bye	52	49	35	60	43	43	52
Miami Dolphins	42	19	50	27	29	25	62	26	28
Minnesota Vikings	46	43	66	67	49	57	71	63	51
New England Patriots	48	bye	71	44	51	39	59	54	72
New Orleans Saints	50	26	23	39	41	31	61	40	40
New York Giants		30	52	35	35	58	35	42	68
New York Jets	31	58	50	bye	40	51	41	37	23
Philadelphia Eagles	bye	30	29	43	48	31	34	17	32
Pittsburgh Steelers	37	70	57	59	32	71	66	69	63
San Francisco 49ers	62	57	63	65	65	80	50	83	74
Seattle Seahawks	58	bye	37	62	65	69	57	57	48
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	bye	45	65	80	62	69	55	57	60
Tennessee Titans	20	30	14	46	24	49	35	31	26
Washington Commanders		31	52	54	43	50	29	20	47

Frequently asked questions

Who is the best NFL survivor pick for Week 10?

By win probability, the Jacksonville Jaguars (80%) and Buffalo Bills (69%) are the safest picks this week. Weigh that against how valuable each team will be in later weeks.

How do NFL survivor pools work?

Each week you pick one team to win. If it wins you advance; if it loses (and usually if it ties) you are out. You can use each team only once all season, so saving strong teams for later weeks matters.

NFL Survivor Pool Picks: Week 10 2026

Week 10 survivor rankings

Win probability grid, rest of season

Frequently asked questions